Institute of Development Studies

Biography

Economist with research interests in international economic integration, trade, growth and climate change impact and adaptation analysis. Experience and publications in quantitative economic policy modelling with particular expertise in computable general equilibrium analysis under imperfectly competitive market conditions. Previous research and lecturing positions in London and Berlin. Consultancy for the European Commission, World Bank, ILO, Rockefeller Foundation, UN World Food Programme.

Selected Projects and Recent Work »»

• Data Systems and Economywide Modeling to Support Policy Analysis in Ethiopia
• Global Food Price Scenarios Towards 2030 With a Global Multi-Region Model
• Cost Benefit Analysis - Livelihoods Centred Disaster Risk Reduction
• Fossil Fuel Prices and Taxes, and Their Effects on Economic Development and Income Distribution in Viet Nam
• Global Food and Farming Futures – Lead Expert Group
• Foresight Project Global Food and Farming Futures: Food System Scenarios and Modelling
• Impact Assessment of the Draft Environmental Tax Law in Vietnam
• Introducing Imperfect Competition to the National Treasury CGE Model of South Africa
• The Impact of the Crisis on World Prices and Trade
• What are the Effects of Free Trade Zones on Employment and Wages?

Thematic Expertise

Climate Change; Trade.

Geographic Expertise

Sub Saharan Africa.

Selected Publications »»

• Arndt, C., Robinson, S. and Willenbockel, D. (2011) 'Ethiopia's Growth Prospects in A Changing Climate: A Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach', Global Environmental Change 21.1:701-10
• Reilly, M. and Willenbockel, D. (2010) 'Managing Uncertainty: A Review of Food System Scenario Analysis and Modelling', Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, Series B 365.1554:3049-63
• Chit, M.M., Rizov, M. and Willenbockel, D. (2010) 'Exchange Rate Volatility and Exports: New Empirical Evidence from the Emerging East Asian Economies', The World Economy 33.2:239-63
• Willenbockel, D. and Robinson, S. (2009) 'The Global Financial Crisis, LDC Exports and Welfare: Analysis with a World Trade Model' in Dramais, A. and Merette, M. (eds), Policy Modeling 2009: Proceedings of the EcoMod2009 Conference held in Ottawa, Canada, June 24-26, 2009, Northampton, MA: EcoMod Press
• Robinson, S. and Willenbockel, D. (2009) 'The OECD Recession and Developing Country Trade: A Global Simulation Analysis', IDS Bulletin 40.5:14-27, Brighton: IDS
• Willenbockel, D. (2009) 'Global Energy and Environmental Scenarios: Implications for Development Policy', Discussion Paper 8, Bonn: German Development Institute
• Polaski, S., de Souza Ferreira Filho, J., Berg, J., McDonald, S., Thierfelder, K., Willenbockel, D. and Zepeda, E. (2009) 'Brazil in the Global Economy. Measuring the Gains from Trade' , Washington DC/Geneva: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace/International Labour Office
• Willenbockel, D. and Robinson, S. (2009) 'Regional Input-Output Data: Ethiopia' in Narayanan, B. and Walmsley, T.L. (eds), Global Trade, Assistance, and Production: The GTAP 7 Data Base, West Lafayette: Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University
• Willenbockel, D. (2009) 'From Overhang to Hangover: Consequences of Protectionist Responses to the Global Crisis for Low-Income Countries' MPRA Working Paper No. 16100, Munich: Ludwig Maximilians Universität München
• Willenbockel, D. (2008) 'Social Time Preference Revisited', Journal of Population Economics 21.3:609-22
• McDonald, S. and Willenbockel, D. (2008) 'India, Brazil, South Africa and China: Is the South Big Enough?', 11th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis , Helsinki:
• Evans, D., Gasiorek, M., Robinson, S. and Willenbockel, D. (2008) 'Assessing the Impact of the EU-Cariforum EPA'
• McDonald, S. and Willenbockel, D. (2008) 'India, Brazil, South Africa and China: Is the South Big Enough?' in Bayar, A. (eds), Proceedings International Conference on Policy Modelling - ECOMOD 2008 Berlin, Florence, MA: EcoMod Press
• Yao, S., Jiang, C., Feng, G. and Willenbockel, D. (2007) 'WTO Challenges and Efficiency of Chinese Banks', Applied Economics 39.5:629-43
• Willenbockel, D. (2007) 'The Impact of China's Import Demand Growth on Sectoral Specialization in Brazil: A CGE Assessment' in Bayar, A. and Haddad, E. (eds), Policy Modelling: Proceedings of the EcoMod2007 Conference, Sao Paulo, Florence, MA: EcoMod Press