AgMIP Global Economic Model Intercomparison

The Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) hosted by the Columbia University Earth Institute is a major international effort to assess the state of global agricultural modeling and to understand climate impacts on the agricultural sector. AgMIP's mission is to improve substantially the characterization of world food security as affected by climate variability and change, and to enhance adaptation capacity in both developing and developed countries.

As part of this initiative, the global economic modeling component of AgMIP is engaging ten leading global agricultural models from around the world in a cross-model scenario comparison exercise. The focus of the comparative analysis is on long-run model projections for the evolution of the global food system towards 2050 under a specified common set of exogenous drivers of change for a standardized set of regions and variables. Dirk Willenbockel supports IFPRI and the OECD in the organisation and coordination of the exercise by contributing to scenario specifications and protocols, data handling software development, liaising with the modelling teams and analyzing the results.

Key contact

Photo of Dirk Willenbockel

T: +44 (0)1273 915700


More details

Assessing Uncertainty Along the Climate-Crop-Economy Modeling Chain

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 119.9: 3274-90 (2014)
Nelson, G.C.; Valin, H.; /..../ and Willenbockel, D.

Why Do Global Long-term Scenarios for Agriculture Differ? An Overview of the AgMIP Global Economic Model Intercomparison.

Agricultural Economics 45.1 (2014)
Von Lampe, M.; Willenbockel, D.; Blanc, E.; Cai, Y.; Calvin, K.; Fujimori, S.; Hasegawa, T.; Havlik, P.; Kyle, P.; Lotze-Campen, H.; Mason d'Croz, D.; Sands, R.D.; Schmitz, C.; Tabeau, A.; Valin, H.; van der Mensbrugg and van Meijl, H.

Impacts of Increased Bioenergy Demand on Global Food Markets

Agricultural Economics 45.1 (2014)
Lotze-Campen, H. et al.

Agriculture and Climate Change in Global Scenarios: Why Don't the Models Agree?

Agricultural Economics 45.1 (2014)
Nelson, G.C.; van der Mensbrugghe; /.../ and Willenbockel, D.

The Future of Food Demand: Understanding Differences in Global Economic Models

Agricultural Economics 45.1 (2013)
Valin, H. et al.

Production Specification and Technological Change Across Models of Global Agriculture

16th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, Shanghai (2013)
Robinson, S., von Meijl, H. and D. Willenbockel, D.
Project Dates:
May 2012 - December 2012
Project Status:
Total project value:
$ 47,000
International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
Research Themes / Programmes:
Climate Change