The Micro-Economics of the Crisis: Identifying the Vulnerable from National Quantitative Data
The key research question to be addressed by this work is 'what does national level quantitative evidence tell us about the channels through which the financial crisis has affected the poor and which groups have been most affected?'. A second question asks to what extent the quantitative evidence supports or contradicts the results from community level work.
IDS has already conducted a qualitative analysis of the social impact of the crisis in five countries. This research project aims to use the results from a new round of qualitative research to inform detailed quantitative analysis of existing nationally representative quantitative surveys in two countries. It will relate directly to policy, since policies to respond to the crisis must be based on appropriately quantified and generalisable evidence including information about the pathways through which the crisis is affecting poor communities.
The primary aims of the research are to identify what is happening to poverty and vulnerability, to be able to tell a more comprehensive story about the channels through which the crisis is affecting poverty and vulnerability in the selected countries and to show the extent to which national policy responses to the crisis are consistent with the pattern of impact identified by the qualitative and quantitative analysis.
There will be two full reports on the research findings which will be delivered for the spring 2010 South Korea G20.
Work on this project will be undertaken closely with Dr Naomi Hossain who is leading a related qualitative study on 'Voices on Three Crises: The Impacts of the Financial, Food and Fuel Crises on Developing Countries'.