Journal Article

Extreme Weather Events and Crop Price Spikes in a Changing Climate: Illustrative global simulation scenarios

Published on 5 September 2012

Agriculture is highly sensitive to climate variability and weather extremes.

Various impact studies have considered the effects of projected long-run trends in temperature, precipitation and CO2 concentrations caused by climate change on global food production and prices. But an area that remains under-explored is the food price impacts that may result from an expected increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events.

This study uses a global dynamic multi-region computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to explore the potential food price impacts of a number of extreme weather event scenarios in 2030 for each of the main exporting regions for rice, maize and wheat.


Dirk Willenbockel

Research Fellow

Publication details

published by
Oxfam International
Willenbockel, D.


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