Working Paper

Institutions, Mobilisation and Rebellion in Post-Colonial Societies

Published on 16 November 2012

This HiCN Working Paper revisits the simultaneous equations model of rebellion, mobilisation, grievances and repression proposed by Gurr and Moore (1997). Its main contribution is to clarify and improve on the underlying identification strategy and to emphasise the role played by the institutional environment.

Instrumental variables estimates for post-colonial societies reveal that the strength of the state, as proxied empirically by an index of bureaucratic quality, exerts a strong preventive effect on rebellion. On the other hand, working institutions also influence the likelihood of rebellion indirectly, through mobilisation. As such, the total net effect of state capacity on rebellion is ambiguous.


Jean-Pierre Tranchant

Research Fellow

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published by
Arcand, J.L. and Tranchant, J.P.
HiCN Working Paper, issue 133


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