Journal Article

IDS Bulletin Vol. 46 Nos. 1

Systems Dynamics Modelling in Industrial Development Evaluation

Published on 19 January 2015

The complexity of development processes makes it difficult to observe and interpret the impacts of policies.

The authors demonstrate the use and benefits of system dynamics modelling (SDM) in impact evaluation of private sector development programmes. A system dynamics model was hereby specifically used to compare the observed post?intervention situation with a hypothetical non?intervention scenario. They used the model to construct an optimal mix of interventions that supports sustainable private sector development. They found that developing a system dynamics model and ‘gaming’ with it is an appropriate means to link the behaviour of the industrial system we observe to its structural elements. This supports the understanding of the impact of complex interventions in industrial systems and can be further useful to convey lessons learned from the evaluations of complex systemic interventions.

Related Content

This article comes from the IDS Bulletin 46.1 (2015) Systems Dynamics Modelling in Industrial Development Evaluation

Cite this publication

Derwisch, S. and Löwe, P. (2015) Systems Dynamics Modelling in Industrial Development Evaluation. IDS Bulletin 46(1): 44-57


Sebastian Derwisch
Peter Löwe

Publication details

published by
Institute of Development Studies


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