Against a background analysis of the economic and trade profile of the South Asian region and the nature and chronology of conflict therein, this talk will present the quantitative estimates of the cost of conflict in terms of loss of trade for South Asia.
In particular the multi-dimensional representation of conflict in an augmented gravity model and its econometric estimation with a large dataset extending over the time period 1965-2000 will be discussed. This seminar will highlight how disputed borders and persistent conflict can debilitate trade relationships and prevent a region from exploiting its trade potential.
About the Speaker:
Dr. Amita Batra (Visiting Professor, ICCR Chair, Centre for South Asian Studies & Edinburgh-India Institute, University of Edinburgh) is a macroeconomist specializing in international trade and finance, and has worked extensively in the area of economic and financial integration with a special focus on Asia. This seminar will be based on the her recent book “Regional Economic Integration in South Asia: Trapped in Conflict?” (London: Routledge, 2012, December).
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